It looks as though we might be reaching that point in the electoral cycle where the Tory party collapses under the weight of its scandals/ mismanagement/ corruption/ cluelessness (delete as appropriate)
It’s a feature of the process that, up until the collapse, and even as the misdeeds mount, Tories will continue to be presented as the natural party of government until, quite suddenly they aren’t. This is the point at which the Labour Party is allowed to win an election. *
The next step in the cycle is for the Tories to retire for a while leaving Labour to restore some order to public services, national finances and international relations before re-emerging as ‘the natural party of government’.
I keep thinking about Fitzgerald’s description of the rich in The Great Gatsby. ‘They smashed up things and creatures’, he says,
They smashed up things and creatures and then retreated back into their money or their vast carelessness, or whatever it was that kept them together, and let other people clean up the mess they had made.
From The Great Gatsby
The saddest part of it all is that Labour always feels obliged to trim its policies and ambitions to look electable (i.e. to look like the Tories) and then feed their unpopularity by taking all the difficult decisions ducked by the outgoing Tories. This becomes “Labour incompetence. ” It’s hard to escape the notion that – as Harold Wilson might have said back in the 1960s, ‘And in future cut out the cracks about 13 years of ‘Tory misrule’ – the country apparently preferred it!”
*I should say, I’m not counting my chickens yet. It remains to be seen whether Starmer is the Blair or the Kinnock de nos jours, especially as Braverman et al seem determined to play the populist/ nationalist/ xenophobe card for all its worth – catnip to large sections of the media.